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Chasing a flush on the internet – Occasionally the numbers just don’t add up!

There’s an age old debate in poker – must you chase a flush? Initially of all we have to define what we imply here by "chasing a flush on the web."

Chasing anything in Texas hold em poker is the practice of betting to stay in a palm in the hope that you will generate a greater hand, even while you might have absolutely nothing in the time. So chasing a flush implies wagering that you simply will obtain the card or card that you just must complete your flush hand on the turn or river. You cannot chase a flush before the flop because at that time you only have 2 cards so the flush isn’t on.

So let’s say you happen to be betting one of the big poker websites online, you have been dealt the Ace and nine of spades and you have paid to see the flop.

The flop is 2s 7s Kd and one of your opponents comes out wagering strongly with a fair sized increase, what do you do?

Initial of all ask yourself what kind of palm you’re up against. The possibilities are triples, a different flush draw, a pair of Kings or a total bluff, so as it stands you are only succeeding against the bluff with your Ace. On the other hands if you hit a spade in the last two cards you’ve got the nut flush and could only lose to a full house or four of a kind.

On the face of it you may assume that statistically you’ve got about a fifty – fifty likelihood of hitting your spade, after all there’s 2 cards to arrive and four suits so there must be about a half opportunity, correct?

Wrong!

You already have 2 of the spades in your palm and there is yet another two showing about the table, so you know 5 cards and 4 of them are spades. That implies you may have 9 spades left offered out of the forty seven cards you have not seen, which is only a 42 % possibility of catching your flush.

In case you do bet around the turn and don’t make your flush, what do you do then? You may have probably now turn out to be pot-committed, you’ve got put so much into the pot that you just could possibly as well wager again around the river unless there is a major raise or all-in against you, but now your odds of generating the flush have dropped dramatically to only 21 per-cent.

But what of that other factor, the mysterious net poker syndrome? What I imply by that’s even though you statistically have a forty two per-cent chance of generating a flush, is that what really occurs in reality? Should you bet the identical hands at the exact same internet based poker table one hundred occasions would you receive a flush 42 occasions? From my personal understanding I doubt it. Flushes seem to arrive around a great deal much less frequently than 42 out of 100 times!

That’s just my own opinion and I am sure the poker web sites would tell you a distinct story, but the way I see it is forty two percent could be the very Ideal you’re ever going to have and you might well have a good deal less chance than that of hitting your flush.

Bottom line? Chasing a flush on line is really a very risky strategy that sucks you in and over commits you, with out giving you enough of a chance of pulling out the succeeding hand.